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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Super Micro Computer SMCI

United States Technology
5.1/10
AI Analyst score
43.26 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 42.38 (-2.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, with caution. Growth is real, but the sustainability of the AI cycle and weak cash generation warrant close monitoring.

Super Micro Computer designs and manufactures high-performance servers and storage solutions for data centers, with a focus on AI. Super Micro Computer shows explosive growth (revenue +93%, earnings +435%) and an attractive valuation (P/E 13.3, forward P/E 8.1), but its cash conversion is deeply negative (-292%) and its gross margin is low (10.8%), reflecting a high-volume, low-margin business model in a cyclical sector.

Financial health
7.2
Quality / Moat
5.0
Valuation
7.3
Growth
7.2
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
0.9
Risk & Context
1.6

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E13.27
Fwd P/E8.12
EV/EBITDA12.17
P/B2.77
P/S0.72
PEG0.91
Market cap28.42 B USD
Enterprise value34.36 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)27.2%
Gross margin10.82%
FCF conversion-292%
Operating margin13.38%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE21.47%
ROA7.88%
Net margin5.71%
FCF-8.25 B USD
FCF yield-29.02%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt9.26 B USD
Net debt1.72 B USD
Cash7.54 B USD
EBITDA2.82 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.61
D/E63.95
Current ratio3.87
Quick ratio1.93
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth93.20%
Earnings growth434.70%
EPS (TTM)3.26 USD
EPS (Fwd)5.33 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta2.00
Analyst consensusHold (16)
Target price42.38 USD
52-week range19.48 USD – 58.78 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Dependence on the AI capex cycle of hyperscalers and weak cash conversion, which could force the company to finance growth with debt or dilution.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Super Micro Computer designs and manufactures high-performance servers and storage solutions for data centers, with a focus on AI. Super Micro Computer shows explosive growth (revenue +93%, earnings +435%) and an attractive valuation (P/E 13.3, forward P/E 8.1), but its cash conversion is deeply negative (-292%) and its gross margin is low (10.8%), reflecting a high-volume, low-margin business model in a cyclical sector.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.2
Quality / Moat5.0
Valuation7.3
Growth7.2
Dividend1.5
Momentum0.9
Risk & Context1.6

OVERALL SCORE: 5.1/10

Context and risks

SMCI has high exposure to the AI capex cycle, which is stressing hyperscaler balance sheets. If investment pace slows, demand for its servers could decline. Additionally, its business depends on the chip supply chain, subject to geopolitical tensions.

News considered in the analysis

  • Western Digital Stock Is Just One Of 3 Top AI Infrastructure Picks — Menciona a SMCI como una de las tres mejores opciones de infraestructura de IA, lo que refuerza la narrativa de crecimiento, pero es una opinión de un medio y no un hecho nuevo.
  • 3 Founder Led Stocks To Own In September 2026 — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre SMCI; no aporta datos nuevos.
  • Is Super Micro Computer a Buy? — Artículo de opinión de Motley Fool; no contiene información nueva sobre la empresa.
  • What's Going On With Super Micro Stock Thursday — Titular sin contenido sustancial; probablemente ruido de mercado sin información material.
  • NVIDIA’s Next AI Chip Ramp Could Open the Door to Another Major Stock Move — El lanzamiento de nuevos chips de NVIDIA es un catalizador directo para SMCI, que integra estos procesadores en sus servidores; podría impulsar la demanda y los ingresos.

Verdict: Hold, with caution. Growth is real, but the sustainability of the AI cycle and weak cash generation warrant close monitoring.

Main risk: Dependence on the AI capex cycle of hyperscalers and weak cash conversion, which could force the company to finance growth with debt or dilution.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.