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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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SM Energy SM

United StatesEnergy · Oil & Gas E&PUSD
7.4AI score
Rank 72 of 2,130
better than 97% of companies
35.25USD
▲ 62.5% in one year
SM MSCI World +22.1%
Average analyst target
43.82 USD (+24.3%)
17 analysts
52-wk low 17.45High 41.56
📈 Chart on TradingView ↗(affiliate link)Analysis of 08/10/2026

What does it do?

SM Energy Company is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production (E&P) company, with operations focused on the Midland (Texas) and Powder River (Wyoming) basins in the United States.

Key points

from its scores
  • ✓Good share-price trend9.3
  • ✓Attractive valuation9.0
  • ✓High-quality business7.5
  • !Modest dividend5.9

AI analysis

bottom line, main risk, context and news
Bottom line

Valuation is attractive and the balance sheet is solid, but the market is already pricing in a high oil price scenario that could reverse quickly.

SM Energy shows very solid fundamentals: operating margin of 60.3%, ROIC of 19.6%, and an attractive valuation (P/E 6.25, EV/EBITDA 4.74, FCF yield 17.6%). However, the explosive revenue and earnings growth (176% and 154%) is clearly cyclical and likely unsustainable, which justifies a slight discount on the growth score. The balance sheet is manageable (ND/EBITDA 2.13) and momentum is strong (74th percentile in 52 weeks).

⚠ Main risk

The main risk is a decline in oil and gas prices, which would reverse record growth and compress margins, especially if the geopolitical risk premium from the Strait of Hormuz deflates.

Context and risks

SM Energy is a US-focused oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) company centered on the Midland and Powder River basins. Its risk profile is dominated by commodity price volatility, not by specific regulatory, geopolitical, or business model risks that are not already reflected in its beta and market context. There are no pending litigations, investigations, or dependence on renewable government concessions that would add additional qualitative risk.

Is SM Energy stock cheap or expensive?

at the analysis date
Cheaper than its sector

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 51% below the Energy median on average.

MultipleCompanySectorDifference
P/E6.215.7−60%
EV / EBITDA4.78.0−41%
Price / book1.12.2−52%
Price / sales1.71.9−12%

Sector: median of the 102 Energy companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.

Valuation score: 9.0 out of 10 (median for Energy: 5.9).

Average analyst target: 43.82 USD, +24.3% versus the price.

A discount may reflect more risk or slower growth than its sector: Financial health 6.2 (sector 6.8), Growth 7.2 (sector 7.2).

Indicative fair value · USD
Graham160.74▲ +356% vs price
Cash flow (DCF)145.56▲ +313% vs price
Dividends30.80▼ −13% vs price
Price35.25at the analysis date

Classic formulas with standard assumptions (10.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.

Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →

Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.

🛒 Where to buy SMCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderAvailable in your country · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € order
By the cost of that order: commission and FX, taxes excluded (public fee schedules). Brokers marked «affiliate» may pay Meridian a commission at no cost to you. This is not investment advice. · Compare all 22 brokers by real cost →

Score by category

0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measures
Financial healthiFair6.2Energy median: 6.8
Quality / MoatiGood7.5Energy median: 5.8
ValuationiExcellent9.0Energy median: 5.9
GrowthiGood7.2Energy median: 7.2
DividendiFair5.9Energy median: 6.0
MomentumiExcellent9.3Energy median: 7.7
Risk & ContextiFair6.5Energy median: 7.7
Energy median7 or more 5 to 7 under 5

Key metrics

at the analysis date · compared with the Energy median
P/Ei
6.2
Energy: 15.7below
EV / EBITDAi
4.7
Energy: 8.0below
ROEi
16.1%
Energy: 14.7%above
Operating margini
60.3%
Energy: 24.0%above
Net debt / EBITDAi
2.13
Energy: 1.23above
Revenue growthi
+176.1%
Energy: +32.7%above

Valuation

P/E
6.2
Forward P/E
4.4
EV / EBITDA
4.7
Price / book
1.1
Price / sales
1.7
PEG
0.59
Market cap
8.4B USD
Enterprise value
15.2B USD

Profitability

ROE
16.1%
ROA
6.9%
ROIC (approx.)
19.6%
Gross margin
86.5%
Operating margin
60.3%
Net margin
20.2%
Free cash flow
1.5B USD
FCF yield
17.6%
Cash conversion
46%

Solvency

Total debt
7.4B USD
Net debt
6.8B USD
Cash
620.0M USD
EBITDA
3.2B USD
Net debt / EBITDA
2.13
Debt / equity
95.14
Current ratio
0.61
Quick ratio
0.52

Growth

Revenue growth
+176.1%
Earnings growth
+153.9%
EPS (TTM)
5.64 USD
EPS (forward)
8.08 USD

Dividend

Dividend yield
2.5%
Payout
18.4%

Risk and market

Beta
0.96
Analyst consensus
Buy (17)
Target price
43.82 USD
52-week range
17.45 – 41.56

Compare it with its sector

All 102 in Energy →
See the full ranking with filters →

Keep browsing the ranking

sorted by score, highest first

Frequently asked questions about SM Energy

Is SM Energy stock cheap or expensive?

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 51% below the Energy median on average. Valuation score: 9.0 out of 10 (median for Energy: 5.9). Average analyst target: 43.82 USD, +24.3% versus the price. This is not investment advice.

What score does SM Energy get on MeridIAn Screener?

It scores 7.4 out of 10, rank 72 of 2,130 (better than 97% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Momentum (9.3) and its weakest, Dividend (5.9). Analysis of 08/10/2026.

What is SM Energy's P/E ratio?

Its P/E is 6.2: the share price equals 6.2 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Energy median is 15.7. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 4.4.

How much is SM Energy worth on the stock market?

Its market capitalisation is 8.4B USD and its enterprise value, debt included, is 15.2B USD.

How much debt does SM Energy have?

Its net debt (debt minus cash) is 6.8B USD. That is 2.13 times its EBITDA; the Energy median is 1.23.

Does SM Energy pay a dividend?

Yes: its dividend yield is 2.50% and it pays out 18% of its earnings.

How has SM Energy stock performed over the last year?

It has risen 62.5% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 17.45 and 41.56 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What do analysts think of SM Energy?

17 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Buy” and their average target is 43.82 USD (+24.3% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.