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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Simon Property Group SPG

United States Real Estate
5.1/10
AI Analyst score
204.82 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 234.83 (+14.7%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, with caution due to leverage and the rising interest rate environment.

Simon Property Group is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, develops, and manages high-quality shopping malls and outlet centers in the United States, generating income primarily from leasing space to retailers. Simon Property Group shows financial health pressured by its high leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 5.54x) and rising interest rates, although its asset quality (gross margin of 81.43%) and ability to generate rental income are solid.

Financial health
5.2
Quality / Moat
7.2
Valuation
2.6
Growth
5.8
Dividend
5.7
Momentum
6.6
Risk & Context
4.3

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E14.45
Fwd P/E30.14
EV/EBITDA18.76
P/B15.08
P/S11.20
PEG4.58
Market cap77.75 B USD
Enterprise value96.14 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)9.2%
Gross margin81.43%
FCF conversion51%
Operating margin46.02%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE120.51%
ROA5.63%
Net margin66.57%
FCF2.60 B USD
FCF yield3.34%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt29.44 B USD
Net debt28.42 B USD
Cash1.02 B USD
EBITDA5.13 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA5.54
D/E503.50
Current ratio0.27
Quick ratio0.26
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth19.50%
Earnings growth-12.50%
EPS (TTM)14.17 USD
EPS (Fwd)6.80 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield4.35%
Payout62.1%
Beta1.31
Analyst consensusBuy (18)
Target price234.83 USD
52-week range172.19 USD – 238.50 USD
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 5.54x) and sensitivity to interest rates, which could compress margins and the REIT's valuation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Simon Property Group is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, develops, and manages high-quality shopping malls and outlet centers in the United States, generating income primarily from leasing space to retailers. Simon Property Group shows financial health pressured by its high leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 5.54x) and rising interest rates, although its asset quality (gross margin of 81.43%) and ability to generate rental income are solid.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.2
Quality / Moat7.2
Valuation2.6
Growth5.8
Dividend5.7
Momentum6.6
Risk & Context4.3

OVERALL SCORE: 5.1/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year yields (5.17%) increases Simon Property's financing costs, given its high net debt/EBITDA of 5.54x, pressuring its financial health and valuation.

News considered in the analysis

  • Sandisk Joins the S&P 100—Is the Index Flow, or the AI Story, Driving the Stock? — Noticia sobre Sandisk, no sobre Simon Property Group. Sin impacto directo.
  • Simon Property (SPG) Group Raised Its Outlook Again — Mejora de perspectivas por parte de la compañía, señal positiva para el crecimiento y la salud del negocio.
  • Sandisk Joins the S&P 100 on Monday -- the Same Day Nike Leaves It — Noticia sobre Sandisk y Nike, sin impacto en Simon Property Group.
  • Simon Property Group Sees Leasing Surge as Traffic, Rents and Retail Demand Rise — Aumento de la demanda de alquiler, tráfico y rentas, lo que refuerza los fundamentales de la compañía.
  • Simon Property Group (SPG) Plans To Hand Back Square One Mall — Devolución de un centro comercial, lo que podría implicar una reducción de activos y una posible señal de debilidad en ese activo concreto.

Verdict: Hold, with caution due to leverage and the rising interest rate environment.

Main risk: High leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 5.54x) and sensitivity to interest rates, which could compress margins and the REIT's valuation.

Other Real Estate companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.