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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Spotify SPOT

Sweden Communication Services
5.8/10
AI Analyst score
510.01 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 601.58 (+18.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; business quality is high, but the price already reflects it and the rate environment pressures the multiple.

Spotify is a Swedish audio streaming platform offering music, podcasts, and audiobooks, with a business model based on premium subscriptions and advertising. Spotify shows solid financial health (score 7.86) with net cash (Net Debt/EBITDA -2.43) and exceptional return on equity (ROE 44.48%), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 28.16, EV/EBITDA 31.91) and momentum is weak (score 3.14).

Financial health
7.9
Quality / Moat
7.7
Valuation
4.6
Growth
7.4
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
3.1
Risk & Context
3.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E28.16
Fwd P/E29.03
EV/EBITDA31.91
P/B11.06
P/S5.09
PEG1.44
Market cap104.85 B USD
Enterprise value85.60 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)28.2%
Gross margin32.77%
FCF conversion57%
Operating margin13.71%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE44.48%
ROA12.19%
Net margin18.43%
FCF1.54 B EUR
FCF yield1.67%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt466.0 M EUR
Net debt-6.52 B EUR
Cash6.98 B EUR
EBITDA2.68 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA-2.43
D/E5.56
Current ratio2.11
Quick ratio1.60
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth13.90%
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)18.11 USD
EPS (Fwd)17.57 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta1.59
Analyst consensusBuy (38)
Target price601.58 USD
52-week range405.00 USD – 740.00 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is a slowdown in subscriber growth or advertising revenue, which would leave the P/E of 28.16 without support. Competition from Apple and Amazon is intense.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Spotify is a Swedish audio streaming platform offering music, podcasts, and audiobooks, with a business model based on premium subscriptions and advertising. Spotify shows solid financial health (score 7.86) with net cash (Net Debt/EBITDA -2.43) and exceptional return on equity (ROE 44.48%), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 28.16, EV/EBITDA 31.91) and momentum is weak (score 3.14).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health7.9
Quality / Moat7.7
Valuation4.6
Growth7.4
Dividend1.5
Momentum3.1
Risk & Context3.7

OVERALL SCORE: 5.8/10

Context and risks

The macro context (ECB rate hikes, tech selloff on AI doubts) does not materially affect Spotify directly. Its subscription business is recurring and not dependent on commodities or specific geopolitical routes. The rate risk is reflected in its high P/E (28.16), which the quantitative engine already scores.

News considered in the analysis

  • Spotify Technology (SPOT) Faces A Fresh Valuation Test As Podcasts And Audiobooks Drive The Story — La noticia destaca el potencial de los podcasts y audiolibros como motores de crecimiento, pero es una opinión de analista sin un catalizador financiero concreto.
  • Spotify Technology (SPOT) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know — Artículo de Zacks de carácter general, sin información nueva o cuantificable.
  • Spotify Stock Breaches Key Trendline After Recent Slide — La ruptura de una línea de tendencia es un evento técnico que ya está reflejado en el precio y en la nota de momentum (3.14).
  • Spotify (SPOT) Stock Moves -3.26%: What You Should Know — La caída del 3.26% en una sesión es ruido de mercado de corto plazo, ya descontado en el precio y en el momentum.
  • Gross-Margin Expansion is a Key Driver of SPOT's Profitability — La expansión del margen bruto es un factor fundamental positivo, pero la noticia no aporta una cifra concreta nueva; el margen bruto actual es del 32.77%.

Verdict: Hold; business quality is high, but the price already reflects it and the rate environment pressures the multiple.

Main risk: The main risk is a slowdown in subscriber growth or advertising revenue, which would leave the P/E of 28.16 without support. Competition from Apple and Amazon is intense.

Other Communication Services companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.