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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Takeda TAK

Japan Healthcare
5.5/10
AI Analyst score
18.86 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 22.12 (+17.3%)
🛒 Where to buy TAKPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the pipeline potential and relative valuation (PEG 0.43) are offset by high leverage and weak return on equity.

Takeda is a global pharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes innovative medicines in areas such as oncology, gastroenterology, and rare diseases. Takeda shows revenue growth of 10.20% and a pipeline with catalysts such as the priority review of zasocitinib, but its financial health is strained by a net debt/EBITDA of 4.06 and a negative ROE (-2.26), which limits its appeal despite a PEG of 0.43.

Financial health
4.6
Quality / Moat
4.5
Valuation
5.0
Growth
4.7
Dividend
6.3
Momentum
6.5
Risk & Context
8.9

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/EN/D
Fwd P/E35.58
EV/EBITDA11.63
P/B1.27
P/S2.05
PEG0.43
Market cap60.23 B USD
Enterprise value14.53 T JPY
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)5.9%
Gross margin64.47%
FCF conversion43%
Operating margin16.45%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE-2.26%
ROA2.69%
Net margin-3.54%
FCF541.44 B JPY
FCF yield5.73%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt5.54 T JPY
Net debt5.08 T JPY
Cash460.98 B JPY
EBITDA1.25 T JPY
Net debt / EBITDA4.06
D/E73.25
Current ratio1.14
Quick ratio0.51
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth10.20%
Earnings growth-9.80%
EPS (TTM)-0.33 USD
EPS (Fwd)0.53 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.29%
Payout80.0%
Beta0.10
Analyst consensusStrong buy (3)
Target price22.12 USD
52-week range12.99 USD – 19.10 USD
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 4.06) combined with a rising rate environment in the US could increase the cost of debt and further pressure shareholder value creation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Takeda is a global pharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes innovative medicines in areas such as oncology, gastroenterology, and rare diseases. Takeda shows revenue growth of 10.20% and a pipeline with catalysts such as the priority review of zasocitinib, but its financial health is strained by a net debt/EBITDA of 4.06 and a negative ROE (-2.26), which limits its appeal despite a PEG of 0.43.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health4.6
Quality / Moat4.5
Valuation5.0
Growth4.7
Dividend6.3
Momentum6.5
Risk & Context8.9

OVERALL SCORE: 5.5/10

Context and risks

Takeda has significant regulatory and pipeline exposure in the US, where drug pricing pressure is a structural risk for the pharmaceutical sector. Additionally, its high leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 4.06) makes it sensitive to the rate environment, although the main effect is already captured by the engine.

News considered in the analysis

  • Takeda Pharmaceutical (TAK) Gets Priority Review. Can Zasocitinib Win in Psoriasis? — La revisión prioritaria de la FDA para zasocitinib en psoriasis es un hito regulatorio material que acelera el potencial de aprobación y comercialización de un activo clave en el pipeline.
  • Basecamp raises $140M before the clinic; J&J and Compass’ potential rivalry — Noticia sectorial sobre otra empresa; sin impacto directo en Takeda.
  • Can Sotyktu's Long-Term PsA Data Boost Bristol Myers' Prospects? — Noticia sobre un competidor (Bristol Myers) en la misma área terapéutica; podría implicar mayor competencia, pero sin datos concretos de impacto en Takeda.
  • Do Novavax’s (NVAX) New Partnerships Offset Policy Risks From The Protecting Approved Care Act? — Noticia sobre Novavax y riesgos de política sanitaria en EE. UU.; sin impacto directo y material en Takeda.
  • Asian Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Fall Sharply in Monday Trading — Caída general de los ADR asiáticos, incluyendo probablemente TAK; movimiento de mercado ya reflejado en el precio y sin información fundamental nueva.

Verdict: Hold; the pipeline potential and relative valuation (PEG 0.43) are offset by high leverage and weak return on equity.

Main risk: High leverage (net debt/EBITDA of 4.06) combined with a rising rate environment in the US could increase the cost of debt and further pressure shareholder value creation.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.