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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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TAL Education Group TAL

China Consumer Defensive
6.9/10
AI Analyst score
12.00 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 16.10 (+34.1%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the valuation is attractive but regulatory risk in China warrants caution.

TAL Education Group is a Chinese educational technology company offering academic tutoring services, primarily through its online platform and physical learning centers, with a growing focus on AI-driven learning solutions. TAL Education shows solid fundamentals with revenue growth of 31.90%, an ROE of 23.71%, and an attractive valuation (P/E 7.50), but regulatory risk in China and dependence on an uncertain political environment for the education sector limit its appeal.

Financial health
8.6
Quality / Moat
7.4
Valuation
8.0
Growth
9.6
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
5.7
Risk & Context
5.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E7.50
Fwd P/E10.23
EV/EBITDA8.65
P/B1.63
P/S2.09
PEG2.79
Market cap6.66 B USD
Enterprise value4.17 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)12.8%
Gross margin56.02%
FCF conversion88%
Operating margin18.09%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE23.71%
ROA3.99%
Net margin28.43%
FCF423.2 M USD
FCF yield6.36%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt405.5 M USD
Net debt-2.47 B USD
Cash2.87 B USD
EBITDA481.7 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA-5.13
D/E9.94
Current ratio1.69
Quick ratio1.32
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth31.90%
Earnings growth1360.00%
EPS (TTM)1.60 USD
EPS (Fwd)1.17 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta0.14
Analyst consensusBuy (18)
Target price16.10 USD
52-week range8.88 USD – 13.37 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is regulatory intervention by the Chinese government in the education and technology sector, which has already demonstrated its ability to drastically alter TAL's business model.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

TAL Education Group is a Chinese educational technology company offering academic tutoring services, primarily through its online platform and physical learning centers, with a growing focus on AI-driven learning solutions. TAL Education shows solid fundamentals with revenue growth of 31.90%, an ROE of 23.71%, and an attractive valuation (P/E 7.50), but regulatory risk in China and dependence on an uncertain political environment for the education sector limit its appeal.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.6
Quality / Moat7.4
Valuation8.0
Growth9.6
Dividend1.5
Momentum5.7
Risk & Context5.2

OVERALL SCORE: 6.9/10

Context and risks

Chinese company with exposure to an unpredictable regulatory environment for the tech-education sector, as demonstrated by the history of restrictions on private tutoring. Weak governance and the risk of state intervention in China justify a significant penalty.

News considered in the analysis

  • TAL or LINC: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? — Listículo comparativo sin información nueva sobre TAL.
  • Is TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock Undervalued Right Now? — Artículo genérico de valoración sin datos concretos nuevos.
  • How Much Upside is Left in TAL Education (TAL)? Wall Street Analysts Think 26.66% — Consenso de analistas con potencial alcista del 26.66%; señal moderada de valoración, parcialmente descontada.
  • How China’s AI Policies Avoid Painful Past Tech Crackdowns — Políticas de IA en China más favorables que el anterior endurecimiento regulatorio; relevante para el negocio de aprendizaje con IA de TAL.
  • TAL vs. LAUR: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option? — Comparativa genérica de valor, sin información sustancial nueva.

Verdict: Hold; the valuation is attractive but regulatory risk in China warrants caution.

Main risk: The main risk is regulatory intervention by the Chinese government in the education and technology sector, which has already demonstrated its ability to drastically alter TAL's business model.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.