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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Toyota Motor TM

Japan Consumer Cyclical
5.4/10
AI Analyst score
190.34 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 234.08 (+23.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold. The cheap valuation and dividend are attractive, but high debt and poor earnings quality warrant caution.

Global automobile manufacturer with a strong presence in hybrids and electric vehicles. Toyota shows exceptional earnings growth (86.9%) typical of a cyclical peak, but its financial health is weak (ND/EBITDA 5.46) and cash conversion is very negative (-64.28%), contrasting with an apparently cheap valuation (P/E 8.60).

Financial health
3.3
Quality / Moat
2.6
Valuation
6.5
Growth
7.1
Dividend
7.1
Momentum
5.1
Risk & Context
8.5

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E8.60
Fwd P/E12.06
EV/EBITDA11.78
P/B0.89
P/S0.68
PEG1.56
Market cap225.40 B USD
Enterprise value65.99 T JPY
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)4.9%
Gross margin16.77%
FCF conversion-64%
Operating margin7.86%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE12.40%
ROA2.34%
Net margin8.63%
FCF-3.60 T JPY
FCF yield-10.17%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt43.95 T JPY
Net debt30.60 T JPY
Cash13.35 T JPY
EBITDA5.60 T JPY
Net debt / EBITDA5.46
D/E114.97
Current ratio1.17
Quick ratio0.95
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth10.40%
Earnings growth86.90%
EPS (TTM)22.12 USD
EPS (Fwd)15.78 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.29%
Payout26.4%
Beta0.34
Analyst consensusStrong buy (4)
Target price234.08 USD
52-week range166.10 USD – 248.90 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the high debt (ND/EBITDA 5.46) and negative cash conversion, which could limit financial flexibility if the auto cycle deteriorates.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Global automobile manufacturer with a strong presence in hybrids and electric vehicles. Toyota shows exceptional earnings growth (86.9%) typical of a cyclical peak, but its financial health is weak (ND/EBITDA 5.46) and cash conversion is very negative (-64.28%), contrasting with an apparently cheap valuation (P/E 8.60).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.3
Quality / Moat2.6
Valuation6.5
Growth7.1
Dividend7.1
Momentum5.1
Risk & Context8.5

OVERALL SCORE: 5.4/10

Context and risks

Toyota has significant exposure to Japan, a country with moderate governance risk. Additionally, its large scale and global presence expose it to geopolitical and tariff tensions, although its geographic diversification mitigates the impact.

News considered in the analysis

  • Toyota’s $6.4 Billion Factory Bet Could Reshape its Manufacturing Future — Inversión transformadora en capacidad de producción, probablemente para vehículos eléctricos y baterías, que refuerza la estrategia a largo plazo.
  • Toyota Motor (TSE:7203) Plans 400,000 Humanoid Robots Across Global Plants — Iniciativa de automatización que podría mejorar la eficiencia a largo plazo, pero es un plan a futuro con incertidumbre sobre su ejecución y retorno.
  • Honda Motor Eyes First New North American Factory in Nearly 20 Years With $2.5 Billion Ohio Hybrid Plant: Report — Noticia sobre un competidor directo, sin impacto directo en los fundamentales de Toyota.
  • Joby Stock Has a Futuristic Story. Here’s My Long-Term Price Prediction — Artículo de opinión sobre una empresa de movilidad aérea, sin relevancia para Toyota.
  • GM and Ford Just Got a Troubling New Signal From U.S. Car Buyers — Noticia sobre la demanda en EE. UU. que afecta a competidores, pero no proporciona información específica sobre Toyota.

Verdict: Hold. The cheap valuation and dividend are attractive, but high debt and poor earnings quality warrant caution.

Main risk: The main risk is the high debt (ND/EBITDA 5.46) and negative cash conversion, which could limit financial flexibility if the auto cycle deteriorates.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.