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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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USA Rare Earth USAR

United States Basic Materials
1.0/10
AI Analyst score
15.18 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 35.56 (+134.2%)
🛒 Where to buy USARPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Keep on watch; execution risk and extreme valuation outweigh the project's potential.

US mining company focused on rare earths, with its own project and dependence on government subsidies. USA Rare Earth is a rare earth miner in the development stage with very weak fundamentals: operating margin of -795.64%, ROE of -23.56%, and net debt of 14.20x EBITDA. The $1.6 billion investment from Lutnick provides key backing, but the valuation (506x P/E) discounts a success not yet reflected in the numbers.

Financial health
3.2
Quality / Moat
0.4
Valuation
0.3
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
2.0
Risk & Context
0.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/EN/D
Fwd P/E506.00
EV/EBITDA-20.43
P/B1.76
P/S432.95
PEGN/D
Market cap5.70 B USD
Enterprise value2.20 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)-3.2%
Gross margin-9.74%
FCF conversionN/D
Operating margin-795.64%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE-23.56%
ROA-4.45%
Net margin0.00%
FCF-284.0 M USD
FCF yield-4.98%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt3.2 M USD
Net debt-1.53 B USD
Cash1.53 B USD
EBITDA-107.6 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA14.20
D/E0.12
Current ratio32.79
Quick ratio30.12
🚀 Growth
Revenue growthN/D
Earnings growthN/D
EPS (TTM)-2.69 USD
EPS (Fwd)0.03 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta2.61
Analyst consensusStrong buy (9)
Target price35.56 USD
52-week range11.45 USD – 43.98 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Dependence on government subsidies and external financing for a project without profitability, along with debt of 14.2x EBITDA, makes the company highly vulnerable to policy changes or execution delays.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

US mining company focused on rare earths, with its own project and dependence on government subsidies. USA Rare Earth is a rare earth miner in the development stage with very weak fundamentals: operating margin of -795.64%, ROE of -23.56%, and net debt of 14.20x EBITDA. The $1.6 billion investment from Lutnick provides key backing, but the valuation (506x P/E) discounts a success not yet reflected in the numbers.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.2
Quality / Moat0.4
Valuation0.3
Dividend1.5
Momentum2.0
Risk & Context0.0

OVERALL SCORE: 1.0/10

Context and risks

High dependence on government subsidies and financing from key investors (Lutnick) for a project in the development phase with an operating margin of -795.64%. The US rare earth regulatory framework is favorable, but the company is vulnerable to changes in subsidy policy and sector volatility.

News considered in the analysis

  • The Tiny Magnet Maker That Attracted $1.6 Billion From Lutnick — Inversión de $1.6 mil millones de una figura prominente (Lutnick) valida el proyecto y alivia la dependencia de subsidios, aunque parte del optimismo ya está en el precio.
  • USA Rare Earth vs. Teck Resources: Which Mining Stock Has Better Potential? — Comparativa genérica de análisis, sin información nueva sobre la empresa.
  • Critical Metals And 2 Rare Earth Stocks To Watch — Listículo sin información específica accionable.
  • Critical Metals Jumps 9% as Rare Earth Stocks Stall; MP Materials Ticks Up, USA Rare Earth Eases — El sector de tierras raras se estanca y USAR cae ligeramente, reflejando la debilidad del momento sin un catalizador negativo propio.
  • Pasqal Holding (PSQL) Stock Dropped, So What Is Driving Attention Now? — Noticia sobre otra empresa sin relación directa con USAR.

Verdict: Keep on watch; execution risk and extreme valuation outweigh the project's potential.

Main risk: Dependence on government subsidies and external financing for a project without profitability, along with debt of 14.2x EBITDA, makes the company highly vulnerable to policy changes or execution delays.

Other Basic Materials companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.