61.38 USD (+24.1%)
12 analysts
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YPF is Argentina's leading integrated energy company, engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and commercialization of oil and gas, with a central role in developing the country's unconventional hydrocarbon resources.
Key points
from its scores- ✓Good share-price trend9.8
- ✓Favourable backdrop7.9
- ✓Strong growth7.2
- ✕Little or no dividend1.4
- !Somewhat demanding valuation5.5
AI analysis
bottom line, main risk, context and newsStrong momentum and cheap valuation do not offset the risk of state intervention and low returns for minority shareholders.
YPF shows explosive growth (revenues +72.2%, earnings +2550.7%) and an attractive valuation by EV/EBITDA (4.34), but its financial health is only moderate (ND/EBITDA 1.28, liquidity 0.93) and shareholder returns are limited (ROE 7.26%, dividend 0%). State control and Argentine country risk are the main drags for minority investors.
The majority control by the Argentine state and its history of political intervention in YPF's management, which may prioritize political goals over minority shareholder returns.
Context and risks
YPF is a company controlled by the Argentine state (majority stake) and operates in a country with capital controls, a volatile currency, and a history of political intervention in the management of state-owned companies. Although financial results are solid, the risk that profits do not reach minority shareholders is material and is not reflected in quantitative metrics.
Is YPF stock cheap or expensive?
at the analysis dateOn P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades in line with the Energy median (within 15%).
| Multiple | Company | Sector | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 26.0 | 15.7 | +66% |
| EV / EBITDA | 4.3 | 8.0 | −46% |
| Price / sales | 1.0 | 1.9 | −47% |
Sector: median of the 102 Energy companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.
Valuation score: 5.5 out of 10 (median for Energy: 5.9).
Average analyst target: 61.38 USD, +24.1% versus the price.
Classic formulas with standard assumptions (10.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.
Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →
Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.
Score by category
0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measuresKey metrics
at the analysis date · compared with the Energy medianValuation
- P/E
- 26.0
- Forward P/E
- 9.0
- EV / EBITDA
- 4.3
- Price / book
- 2,721.4
- Price / sales
- 1.0
- PEG
- 0.10
- Market cap
- 19.4B USD
- Enterprise value
- 41.79T ARS
Profitability
- ROE
- 7.3%
- ROA
- 8.3%
- ROIC (approx.)
- 50.2%
- Gross margin
- 35.6%
- Operating margin
- 27.5%
- Net margin
- 4.0%
- Free cash flow
- 1.24T ARS
- FCF yield
- 4.2%
- Cash conversion
- 13%
Solvency
- Total debt
- 16.02T ARS
- Net debt
- 12.36T ARS
- Cash
- 3.66T ARS
- EBITDA
- 9.63T ARS
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.28
- Debt / equity
- 84.75
- Current ratio
- 0.93
- Quick ratio
- 0.65
Growth
- Revenue growth
- +72.2%
- Earnings growth
- +2,550.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- 1.90 USD
- EPS (forward)
- 5.49 USD
Dividend
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
- Payout
- 0.0%
Risk and market
- Beta
- −0.11
- Analyst consensus
- Buy (12)
- Target price
- 61.38 USD
- 52-week range
- 23.37 – 57.87
Recent news
All YPF news →Compare it with its sector
All 102 in Energy →Frequently asked questions about YPF
Is YPF stock cheap or expensive?
On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades in line with the Energy median (within 15%). Valuation score: 5.5 out of 10 (median for Energy: 5.9). Average analyst target: 61.38 USD, +24.1% versus the price. This is not investment advice.
What score does YPF get on MeridIAn Screener?
It scores 6.2 out of 10, rank 860 of 2,130 (better than 60% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Momentum (9.8) and its weakest, Dividend (1.4). Analysis of 08/10/2026.
What is YPF's P/E ratio?
Its P/E is 26.0: the share price equals 26.0 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Energy median is 15.7. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 9.0.
How much is YPF worth on the stock market?
Its market capitalisation is 19.4B USD and its enterprise value, debt included, is 41.79T USD.
How much debt does YPF have?
Its net debt (debt minus cash) is 12.36T ARS. That is 1.28 times its EBITDA; the Energy median is 1.23.
Does YPF pay a dividend?
It pays no dividend, or almost none.
How has YPF stock performed over the last year?
It has risen 87.3% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 23.37 and 57.87 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
What do analysts think of YPF?
12 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Buy” and their average target is 61.38 USD (+24.1% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.