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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Yum China Holdings YUMC

ChinaConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsUSD
6.5AI score
Rank 587 of 2,130
better than 72% of companies
40.65USD
▼ 2.9% in one year
YUMC MSCI World +22.1%
Average analyst target
61.91 USD (+52.3%)
20 analysts
52-wk low 39.72High 58.39
📈 Chart on TradingView ↗(affiliate link)Analysis of 08/10/2026

What does it do?

Yum China Holdings operates and franchises fast-food restaurant brands in China, including KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell, being the country's largest restaurant operator.

Key points

from its scores
  • ✓Attractive valuation7.9
  • ✓Strong growth7.4
  • ✓Attractive dividend7.3
  • !Weak share-price trend5.0
  • !Risks to watch5.2

AI analysis

bottom line, main risk, context and news
Bottom line

The valuation is attractive but the jurisdictional risk of China warrants caution.

Yum China shows solid fundamentals with a P/E of 14.89 and earnings growth of 21.40%, but its valuation already discounts the risk of operating in China, where minority shareholder protection is weak and the regulatory environment is unpredictable.

⚠ Main risk

The main risk is the total exposure to the Chinese market, where minority shareholder protection is weak and the regulatory environment for discretionary consumption is unpredictable.

Context and risks

Yum China operates in China, where minority shareholder protection is weak and the regulatory environment for discretionary consumption is unpredictable. Although the company is domiciled in the US, its business is 100% exposed to the Chinese jurisdiction, adding a governance and regulatory risk not captured by financial metrics.

Is Yum China Holdings stock cheap or expensive?

at the analysis date
Cheaper than its sector

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 22% below the Consumer Cyclical median on average.

MultipleCompanySectorDifference
P/E14.917.8−17%
EV / EBITDA8.311.2−27%
Price / book2.72.9−7%
Price / sales1.11.3−12%

Sector: median of the 228 Consumer Cyclical companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.

Valuation score: 7.9 out of 10 (median for Consumer Cyclical: 6.6).

Average analyst target: 61.91 USD, +52.3% versus the price.

A discount may reflect more risk or slower growth than its sector: Financial health 6.3 (sector 5.7), Growth 7.4 (sector 5.9).

Indicative fair value · USD
Graham77.80▲ +91% vs price
Cash flow (DCF)59.97▲ +48% vs price
Dividends40.60▼ +0% vs price
Price40.65at the analysis date

Classic formulas with standard assumptions (10.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.

Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →

Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.

🛒 Where to buy YUMCCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderAvailable in your country · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € order
By the cost of that order: commission and FX, taxes excluded (public fee schedules). Brokers marked «affiliate» may pay Meridian a commission at no cost to you. This is not investment advice. · Compare all 22 brokers by real cost →

Score by category

0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measures
Financial healthiFair6.3Consumer Cyclical median: 5.7
Quality / MoatiFair5.9Consumer Cyclical median: 5.7
ValuationiGood7.9Consumer Cyclical median: 6.6
GrowthiGood7.4Consumer Cyclical median: 5.9
DividendiGood7.3Consumer Cyclical median: 4.5
MomentumiFair5.0Consumer Cyclical median: 5.5
Risk & ContextiFair5.2Consumer Cyclical median: 5.5
Consumer Cyclical median7 or more 5 to 7 under 5

Key metrics

at the analysis date · compared with the Consumer Cyclical median
P/Ei
14.9
Consumer Cyclical: 17.8below
EV / EBITDAi
8.3
Consumer Cyclical: 11.2below
ROEi
16.8%
Consumer Cyclical: 16.0%above
Operating margini
11.5%
Consumer Cyclical: 10.5%above
Net debt / EBITDAi
0.47
Consumer Cyclical: 1.91below
Revenue growthi
+12.6%
Consumer Cyclical: +5.3%above

Valuation

P/E
14.9
Forward P/E
12.0
EV / EBITDA
8.3
Price / book
2.7
Price / sales
1.1
PEG
0.91
Market cap
13.7B USD
Enterprise value
15.5B USD

Profitability

ROE
16.8%
ROA
8.1%
ROIC (approx.)
19.2%
Gross margin
20.3%
Operating margin
11.5%
Net margin
7.8%
Free cash flow
859.9M USD
FCF yield
6.3%
Cash conversion
46%

Solvency

Total debt
2.3B USD
Net debt
892.0M USD
Cash
1.4B USD
EBITDA
1.9B USD
Net debt / EBITDA
0.47
Debt / equity
37.98
Current ratio
0.96
Quick ratio
0.66

Growth

Revenue growth
+12.6%
Earnings growth
+21.4%
EPS (TTM)
2.73 USD
EPS (forward)
3.38 USD

Dividend

Dividend yield
2.9%
Payout
38.8%

Risk and market

Beta
0.06
Analyst consensus
Strong buy (20)
Target price
61.91 USD
52-week range
39.72 – 58.39

Compare it with its sector

All 228 in Consumer Cyclical →
See the full ranking with filters →

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Frequently asked questions about Yum China Holdings

Is Yum China Holdings stock cheap or expensive?

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 22% below the Consumer Cyclical median on average. Valuation score: 7.9 out of 10 (median for Consumer Cyclical: 6.6). Average analyst target: 61.91 USD, +52.3% versus the price. This is not investment advice.

What score does Yum China Holdings get on MeridIAn Screener?

It scores 6.5 out of 10, rank 587 of 2,130 (better than 72% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Valuation (7.9) and its weakest, Momentum (5.0). Analysis of 08/10/2026.

What is Yum China Holdings's P/E ratio?

Its P/E is 14.9: the share price equals 14.9 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Consumer Cyclical median is 17.8. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 12.0.

How much is Yum China Holdings worth on the stock market?

Its market capitalisation is 13.7B USD and its enterprise value, debt included, is 15.5B USD.

How much debt does Yum China Holdings have?

Its net debt (debt minus cash) is 892.0M USD. That is 0.47 times its EBITDA; the Consumer Cyclical median is 1.91.

Does Yum China Holdings pay a dividend?

Yes: its dividend yield is 2.85% and it pays out 39% of its earnings.

How has Yum China Holdings stock performed over the last year?

It has fallen 2.9% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 39.72 and 58.39 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What do analysts think of Yum China Holdings?

20 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Strong buy” and their average target is 61.91 USD (+52.3% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.