⚠️ Not investment advice. This is a quantitative research tool; every decision is the user's own responsibility. Past performance does not guarantee future results.⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
🔓 Sign up freeSee the full rankingSign in with Google
← Back to the full ranking · All companies

Prada 1913.HK

Italy Consumer Cyclical
6.0/10
AI Analyst score
38.90 HKD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 49.33 (+26.8%)
🛒 Where to buy 1913.HKHong Kong
No partner-broker fees for this market yet · Broker cost comparison →
🟡 HOLD — Hold. The combination of reasonable valuation and a solid moat offers support, but the lack of earnings growth and governance risk limit near-term upside potential.

Prada is an Italian luxury fashion house that designs, manufactures, and sells leather goods, footwear, clothing, and accessories under the Prada and Miu Miu brands. Prada shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.57) and exceptional quality moat (gross margin 79.42%), but earnings growth has turned negative (-15.30%), weighing on its growth profile. Valuation is attractive (P/E 14.04, FCF yield 8.24%), but governance risk in Italy and falling momentum (-7.47%) suggest caution.

Financial health
6.2
Quality / Moat
7.1
Valuation
7.3
Growth
3.9
Dividend
7.8
Momentum
3.8
Risk & Context
4.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E14.04
Fwd P/E13.14
EV/EBITDA10.10
P/B2.40
P/S1.85
PEG2.07
Market cap99.54 B HKD
Enterprise value14.96 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)11.1%
Gross margin79.42%
FCF conversion62%
Operating margin17.39%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE17.98%
ROA7.87%
Net margin13.16%
FCF918.3 M EUR
FCF yield8.24%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt4.83 B EUR
Net debt3.81 B EUR
Cash1.02 B EUR
EBITDA1.48 B EUR
Net debt / EBITDA2.57
D/E104.77
Current ratio1.50
Quick ratio0.77
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth11.20%
Earnings growth-15.30%
EPS (TTM)2.77 HKD
EPS (Fwd)2.96 HKD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.86%
Payout52.9%
Beta0.82
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Target price49.33 HKD
52-week range34.52 HKD – 52.00 HKD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is weak earnings growth (-15.30%), which could indicate softening luxury demand or operational inefficiencies, along with Italy's structural governance risk.
See the full analysis and compare with the rest of the ranking →

Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Prada is an Italian luxury fashion house that designs, manufactures, and sells leather goods, footwear, clothing, and accessories under the Prada and Miu Miu brands. Prada shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.57) and exceptional quality moat (gross margin 79.42%), but earnings growth has turned negative (-15.30%), weighing on its growth profile. Valuation is attractive (P/E 14.04, FCF yield 8.24%), but governance risk in Italy and falling momentum (-7.47%) suggest caution.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.2
Quality / Moat7.1
Valuation7.3
Growth3.9
Dividend7.8
Momentum3.8
Risk & Context4.4

OVERALL SCORE: 6.0/10

Context and risks

Italy presents an elevated governance risk, with a history of political instability and weaker minority shareholder protections than other European jurisdictions. Although Prada is a global operator, its legal and fiscal domicile in Italy exposes shareholders to this institutional risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Prada Is Wooing the Ultrarich With Snorkeling Trips and $100,000 Skirts — Refleja una estrategia de marketing hacia el segmento de lujo extremo, que podría sostener márgenes, pero es una táctica comercial sin impacto financiero cuantificable inmediato.
  • Oura’s IPO Could Value the Smart Ring-maker Above Lululemon or Prada — Noticia sobre la valoración de otra empresa (Oura), sin impacto directo en los fundamentales de Prada.
  • Publicis Media Tops First Half New Business — Noticia del sector de medios y publicidad, sin relación con el negocio de lujo de Prada.
  • Kim Kardashian flaunts her wealth to millions of followers with ‘stealth’ status signals, but that can backfire on her — Artículo sobre el comportamiento de una celebridad, sin información relevante para la valoración de Prada.
  • Prada rules out Armani bid, focuses on Versace turnaround – report — La decisión de no adquirir Armani y centrarse en Versace reduce el riesgo de una integración compleja y costosa, y enfoca la gestión en un plan de recuperación conocido.

Verdict: Hold. The combination of reasonable valuation and a solid moat offers support, but the lack of earnings growth and governance risk limit near-term upside potential.

Main risk: The main risk is weak earnings growth (-15.30%), which could indicate softening luxury demand or operational inefficiencies, along with Italy's structural governance risk.

Other Consumer Cyclical companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

See all 1,000+ companies in the index →

Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.