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Associated British Foods ABF.L

United Kingdom Consumer Defensive
5.5/10
AI Analyst score
18.71 GBP
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 18.05 (-3.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the valuation is reasonable but the business deterioration and lack of clear catalysts limit upside potential.

Associated British Foods is a diversified conglomerate operating in food (sugar, bread, ingredients) and fashion retail through Primark, with a high-volume, low-cost business model. Associated British Foods has a solid balance sheet (ND/EBITDA 1.37) and an attractive valuation (P/E 14.07), but the business is in decline: profits are falling 11.8% and the operating margin is weak (6.64%). Growth initiatives (Primark home delivery, ready meals partnership) are positive but do not yet offset the underlying weakness.

Financial health
6.6
Quality / Moat
3.5
Valuation
7.6
Growth
3.3
Dividend
4.8
Momentum
4.6
Risk & Context
7.5

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E14.07
Fwd P/E12.59
EV/EBITDA7.44
P/B1.16
P/S0.67
PEG2.27
Market cap13.08 B GBP
Enterprise value16.39 B GBP
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)8.6%
Gross margin7.43%
FCF conversion33%
Operating margin6.64%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE8.45%
ROA4.92%
Net margin4.89%
FCF737.1 M GBP
FCF yield5.64%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt3.74 B GBP
Net debt3.03 B GBP
Cash712.0 M GBP
EBITDA2.20 B GBP
Net debt / EBITDA1.37
D/E32.18
Current ratio1.51
Quick ratio0.63
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-0.40%
Earnings growth-11.80%
EPS (TTM)1.33 GBP
EPS (Fwd)1.49 GBP
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.03%
Payout47.3%
Beta0.80
Analyst consensusunderperform (17)
Target price18.05 GBP
52-week range17.29 GBP – 23.59 GBP
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the sustained decline in profits (-11.8%) and stagnant revenue (-0.4%), which could indicate structural deterioration in the food and fashion business, not captured by the seemingly cheap valuation.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Associated British Foods is a diversified conglomerate operating in food (sugar, bread, ingredients) and fashion retail through Primark, with a high-volume, low-cost business model. Associated British Foods has a solid balance sheet (ND/EBITDA 1.37) and an attractive valuation (P/E 14.07), but the business is in decline: profits are falling 11.8% and the operating margin is weak (6.64%). Growth initiatives (Primark home delivery, ready meals partnership) are positive but do not yet offset the underlying weakness.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.6
Quality / Moat3.5
Valuation7.6
Growth3.3
Dividend4.8
Momentum4.6
Risk & Context7.5

OVERALL SCORE: 5.5/10

Context and risks

The macro context (rates, oil, geopolitics) does not materially affect ABF: it is a low-cost food and fashion conglomerate with moderate debt (ND/EBITDA 1.37) and no direct exposure to commodities or shipping routes. The main risk is operational and company-specific.

News considered in the analysis

  • Associated British Foods (LSE:ABF) Stock Fair Value Edges Lower After Analyst Target Revisions — Revisiones a la baja de objetivos de analistas reflejan expectativas débiles, consistente con la caída de beneficios del -11.8%.
  • Pilgrim’s Europe partners with ABF unit in Patak’s, Blue Dragon ready meals — Acuerdo de colaboración para ampliar la presencia de marcas de comida preparada, una oportunidad de crecimiento en un segmento de mayor margen.
  • Primark Embraces Home Delivery in UK After Years of Questioning the Economics — Lanzamiento de entrega a domicilio en Reino Unido, un cambio estratégico que podría impulsar las ventas online de Primark, aunque con impacto incierto en márgenes.
  • Primark to offer home delivery in Great Britain for first time — Confirmación del lanzamiento de entrega a domicilio, un paso para modernizar el canal digital de Primark.
  • Primark Goes Online While ABF Goes Down — Titular que subraya la caída de la acción mientras Primark se digitaliza, reflejando la debilidad general del negocio.

Verdict: Hold; the valuation is reasonable but the business deterioration and lack of clear catalysts limit upside potential.

Main risk: The main risk is the sustained decline in profits (-11.8%) and stagnant revenue (-0.4%), which could indicate structural deterioration in the food and fashion business, not captured by the seemingly cheap valuation.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.