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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Kesko KESKOB.HE

Finland Consumer Defensive
5.5/10
AI Analyst score
23.24 EUR
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 22.30 (-4.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold: the defensive grocery business and positive momentum offset high leverage and rate pressure, but elevated debt limits upside potential.

Kesko is a Finnish retail and wholesale conglomerate with operations in grocery, building and home improvement, and automotive sectors. Kesko shows weak financial health (score 3.64) due to high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.15) and low operating margin (5.51), but 6% revenue growth and 29.7% momentum (score 8.02) support the thesis, with reasonable valuation (P/E 22.13, FCF yield 4.85%).

Financial health
3.0
Quality / Moat
4.9
Valuation
5.4
Growth
5.8
Dividend
5.8
Momentum
8.0
Risk & Context
7.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E22.13
Fwd P/E17.84
EV/EBITDA14.64
P/B3.50
P/S0.72
PEG6.27
Market cap9.26 B EUR
Enterprise value12.80 B EUR
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)10.7%
Gross margin14.56%
FCF conversion51%
Operating margin5.51%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE16.05%
ROA4.31%
Net margin3.25%
FCF449.4 M EUR
FCF yield4.85%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt4.00 B EUR
Net debt3.63 B EUR
Cash376.3 M EUR
EBITDA874.5 M EUR
Net debt / EBITDA4.15
D/E149.44
Current ratio0.90
Quick ratio0.55
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth6.00%
Earnings growth10.30%
EPS (TTM)1.05 EUR
EPS (Fwd)1.30 EUR
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.87%
Payout85.7%
Beta0.84
Analyst consensusBuy (5)
Target price22.30 EUR
52-week range17.80 EUR – 23.32 EUR
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.15) with the ECB raising rates is the biggest risk, as it will increase the cost of debt and could pressure the already thin operating margin of 5.51%.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Kesko is a Finnish retail and wholesale conglomerate with operations in grocery, building and home improvement, and automotive sectors. Kesko shows weak financial health (score 3.64) due to high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.15) and low operating margin (5.51), but 6% revenue growth and 29.7% momentum (score 8.02) support the thesis, with reasonable valuation (P/E 22.13, FCF yield 4.85%).

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.0
Quality / Moat4.9
Valuation5.4
Growth5.8
Dividend5.8
Momentum8.0
Risk & Context7.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.5/10

Context and risks

The macro context of rising rates in Europe (ECB hiking) affects Kesko due to its high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.15) and sensitivity to rates in a discretionary consumer sector (construction and home). However, the effect is moderate because the grocery business is defensive and the oil rally does not directly affect it.

News considered in the analysis

  • Kesko Oyj (HLSE:KESKOB) After August Sales Growth Is The Stock Fully Valued — Artículo de opinión de Simply Wall St. sobre si la acción está totalmente valorada tras el crecimiento de ventas de agosto; no aporta información nueva sobre beneficios o valoración.
  • Kesko (HLSE:KESKOB) Stock May Be Trading At A Premium On Earnings — Opinión de Simply Wall St. sobre la valoración relativa al PER; no es un hecho material, es una interpretación de analista sin datos nuevos.
  • 3 Dividend Stocks From a Value Pro — Lista genérica de acciones con dividendo de Barron's; no aporta información específica sobre Kesko más allá de ser mencionada como valor con dividendo.
  • Kesko Oyj (KKOYY) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Sales Growth Amid Market Challenges — La llamada de resultados del Q4 2025 destaca un fuerte crecimiento de ventas en un entorno de mercado desafiante; el crecimiento de ingresos del 6% y de beneficios del 10.3% ya están reflejados en las notas cuantitativas, pero la confirmación de la fortaleza operativa es moderadamente positiva.

Verdict: Hold: the defensive grocery business and positive momentum offset high leverage and rate pressure, but elevated debt limits upside potential.

Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.15) with the ECB raising rates is the biggest risk, as it will increase the cost of debt and could pressure the already thin operating margin of 5.51%.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.