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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Arthur J. Gallagher AJG

United States Financial Services
5.0/10
AI Analyst score
231.10 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 289.67 (+25.3%)
🛒 Where to buy AJGPartner brokers · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderUS (NYSE/Nasdaq)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the strength of the brokerage business and the 6% organic growth guidance do not offset weak profitability and a demanding valuation.

Arthur J. Gallagher is a global insurance broker and risk management consultant that intermediates policies and offers reinsurance services. Arthur J. Gallagher shows exceptional revenue growth of 30.9% and a solid operating margin of 19.16%, but its return on equity is low (6.72%) and earnings growth is negative (-10.7%), explaining its demanding valuation (P/E 38.33) and low valuation score.

Financial health
3.8
Quality / Moat
6.2
Valuation
1.4
Growth
5.8
Dividend
5.8
Momentum
3.4
Risk & Context
8.4

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E38.33
Fwd P/E15.55
EV/EBITDA16.79
P/B2.50
P/S3.92
PEG0.68
Market cap59.24 B USD
Enterprise value71.98 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)7.7%
Gross margin43.19%
FCF conversion49%
Operating margin19.16%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE6.72%
ROA2.32%
Net margin10.38%
FCF2.08 B USD
FCF yield3.51%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt14.11 B USD
Net debt12.72 B USD
Cash1.39 B USD
EBITDA4.29 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA2.97
D/E59.40
Current ratio1.05
Quick ratio0.17
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth30.90%
Earnings growth-10.70%
EPS (TTM)6.03 USD
EPS (Fwd)14.86 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.21%
Payout44.8%
Beta0.51
Analyst consensusBuy (18)
Target price289.67 USD
52-week range190.75 USD – 313.55 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is valuation: with a P/E of 38.33 and negative earnings growth, the stock depends on margin expansion and organic growth materializing to justify the multiple.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Arthur J. Gallagher is a global insurance broker and risk management consultant that intermediates policies and offers reinsurance services. Arthur J. Gallagher shows exceptional revenue growth of 30.9% and a solid operating margin of 19.16%, but its return on equity is low (6.72%) and earnings growth is negative (-10.7%), explaining its demanding valuation (P/E 38.33) and low valuation score.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.8
Quality / Moat6.2
Valuation1.4
Growth5.8
Dividend5.8
Momentum3.4
Risk & Context8.4

OVERALL SCORE: 5.0/10

Context and risks

AJG's insurance brokerage business has no direct exposure to interest rates, oil prices, or geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The rise in long-term rates could affect the valuation of its future cash flows, but its forward P/E of 15.55 already reflects a reasonable expectation, and its commission-based business model is defensive. No material specific regulatory or geopolitical risk is identified for this company.

News considered in the analysis

  • Arthur J. Gallagher Targets 6% Q3 Organic Growth as Risk Management Accelerates — Guía de crecimiento orgánico del 6% para el tercer trimestre, ligeramente por encima de lo esperado, lo que refuerza la fortaleza del negocio de gestión de riesgos.
  • Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) Expands Iberia Deal Insurance Team, Is The Stock Still Undervalued? — Expansión del equipo de seguros de transacciones en Iberia, una señal de crecimiento en un nicho de alto margen, aunque de tamaño limitado para el grupo.
  • Is Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) Still Trading Below Fair Value? — Artículo de análisis de valoración sin información nueva; no aporta datos concretos sobre la empresa.
  • Banks have profited from idle cash for years. AI agents could change that. — Noticia genérica sobre el sector bancario y la IA; sin impacto directo en el negocio de corretaje de seguros de AJG.
  • Meta’s Muse Jumps to the Top of the Apple Store—and Triggers a Panic in the Stock Market — Titular sobre Meta y el mercado tecnológico; sin relación con el negocio de AJG.

Verdict: Hold; the strength of the brokerage business and the 6% organic growth guidance do not offset weak profitability and a demanding valuation.

Main risk: The main risk is valuation: with a P/E of 38.33 and negative earnings growth, the stock depends on margin expansion and organic growth materializing to justify the multiple.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.