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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Hershey HSY

United States Consumer Defensive
7.0/10
AI Analyst score
166.37 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 205.52 (+23.5%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold positions: the quality of the business and stable dividend offset a valuation with no margin of safety.

The Hershey Company is a leading confectionery and snack manufacturer, known for brands like Hershey's, Reese's, and Kisses, selling its products through a broad retail distribution network in North America and other markets. Hershey shows solid financial health (6.26) with a 26.82% ROIC and a 23.12% operating margin, although its valuation (P/E 22.73) is not particularly cheap. The 631% earnings growth is an accounting anomaly that does not reflect the underlying trend.

Financial health
6.3
Quality / Moat
7.9
Valuation
5.7
Growth
7.8
Dividend
6.6
Momentum
4.5
Risk & Context
9.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E22.73
Fwd P/E16.86
EV/EBITDA14.17
P/B7.33
P/S2.75
PEG0.84
Market cap33.43 B USD
Enterprise value38.56 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)26.8%
Gross margin38.38%
FCF conversion64%
Operating margin23.12%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE32.81%
ROA9.92%
Net margin12.24%
FCF1.74 B USD
FCF yield5.22%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt5.92 B USD
Net debt5.13 B USD
Cash791.2 M USD
EBITDA2.72 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.89
D/E129.82
Current ratio1.18
Quick ratio0.51
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth6.60%
Earnings growth631.00%
EPS (TTM)7.32 USD
EPS (Fwd)9.87 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.49%
Payout77.1%
Beta0.10
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Target price205.52 USD
52-week range161.43 USD – 239.48 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is margin pressure from higher cocoa and other ingredient costs, which could compress profitability if the company fails to pass on higher costs through prices.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

The Hershey Company is a leading confectionery and snack manufacturer, known for brands like Hershey's, Reese's, and Kisses, selling its products through a broad retail distribution network in North America and other markets. Hershey shows solid financial health (6.26) with a 26.82% ROIC and a 23.12% operating margin, although its valuation (P/E 22.73) is not particularly cheap. The 631% earnings growth is an accounting anomaly that does not reflect the underlying trend.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.3
Quality / Moat7.9
Valuation5.7
Growth7.8
Dividend6.6
Momentum4.5
Risk & Context9.2

OVERALL SCORE: 7.0/10

Context and risks

The rise in crude oil and 10-year yields does not materially affect Hershey: its confectionery business is defensive, with stable margins and no direct exposure to energy commodities. The increase in cocoa costs is a known sector factor, but it is not linked to the macro context described.

News considered in the analysis

  • Halloween Spending to Set Record. Bargain-Hunting Dominates. — El gasto récord en Halloween es un viento de cola estacional para las ventas de confitería, aunque el enfoque en gangas sugiere presión promocional.
  • Hershey vs. Mondelez: Same Cocoa Problem, Two Very Different Dividends — Comparación genérica de dividendos sin información nueva sobre Hershey.
  • Hershey CEO: America’s 250 years of innovation and why we expanded our innovation pipeline 50% in one year — La expansión del pipeline de innovación es positiva para el crecimiento a largo plazo, aunque es una declaración de intenciones sin impacto financiero inmediato.
  • P&G vs. Hershey: One Dividend Has a Major Advantage When Costs Surge — Comparación de dividendos sin información específica sobre Hershey.
  • 3 US Consumer Staples Stocks To Watch As Inflation Squeezes Shoppers — Artículo genérico sobre acciones defensivas sin información específica sobre Hershey.

Verdict: Hold positions: the quality of the business and stable dividend offset a valuation with no margin of safety.

Main risk: The main risk is margin pressure from higher cocoa and other ingredient costs, which could compress profitability if the company fails to pass on higher costs through prices.

Other Consumer Defensive companies

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.