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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Keurig Dr Pepper KDP

United States Consumer Defensive
5.5/10
AI Analyst score
31.95 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 36.21 (+13.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the cheap valuation does not offset earnings deterioration and high leverage.

Keurig Dr Pepper is a beverage company that sells soft drinks, coffees, and other beverages through a broad distribution network, with a business model based on strong brands and a patented coffee pod system. KDP shows fragile financial health (ND/EBITDA 6.66, ROE 5.10%) and negative earnings growth (-90%), although its forward valuation (P/E 12.61) and FCF yield (10.60%) offer some appeal. Momentum is positive (29.29% over 12 months), but dividend sustainability (payout 92.93%) is a concern.

Financial health
3.1
Quality / Moat
5.1
Valuation
5.4
Growth
5.5
Dividend
5.0
Momentum
7.0
Risk & Context
8.7

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E32.27
Fwd P/E12.61
EV/EBITDA17.49
P/B1.74
P/S2.16
PEG0.99
Market cap43.48 B USD
Enterprise value84.09 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)4.4%
Gross margin50.96%
FCF conversion96%
Operating margin12.89%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE5.10%
ROA3.38%
Net margin7.10%
FCF4.61 B USD
FCF yield10.60%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt33.53 B USD
Net debt32.00 B USD
Cash1.53 B USD
EBITDA4.81 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA6.66
D/E99.65
Current ratio0.48
Quick ratio0.20
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth75.60%
Earnings growth-90.00%
EPS (TTM)0.99 USD
EPS (Fwd)2.53 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield2.88%
Payout92.9%
Beta0.41
Analyst consensusBuy (17)
Target price36.21 USD
52-week range24.88 USD – 33.82 USD
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 6.66) combined with a 90% drop in earnings could lead to a dividend cut or solvency issues if the business does not recover.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Keurig Dr Pepper is a beverage company that sells soft drinks, coffees, and other beverages through a broad distribution network, with a business model based on strong brands and a patented coffee pod system. KDP shows fragile financial health (ND/EBITDA 6.66, ROE 5.10%) and negative earnings growth (-90%), although its forward valuation (P/E 12.61) and FCF yield (10.60%) offer some appeal. Momentum is positive (29.29% over 12 months), but dividend sustainability (payout 92.93%) is a concern.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health3.1
Quality / Moat5.1
Valuation5.4
Growth5.5
Dividend5.0
Momentum7.0
Risk & Context8.7

OVERALL SCORE: 5.5/10

Context and risks

The macro context (rates, oil, geopolitics) does not materially affect KDP. It is a defensive consumer company in the US with no direct exposure to commodities, shipping routes, or interest rates that significantly impact its balance sheet.

News considered in the analysis

  • 1 Value Stock Worth Your Attention and 2 That Underwhelm — Listículo genérico sin información específica sobre KDP.
  • Keurig Dr Pepper Beat PepsiCo Over the Past Year. Income Investors May See It Differently — Comparativa de rendimiento pasado sin información nueva sobre el negocio.
  • How Much Should One Number Worry Starbucks Shareholders? — Noticia sobre Starbucks, no sobre KDP.
  • Coca-Cola’s Secret Dividend Weapon Is a Business Model Most Investors Overlook — Noticia sobre Coca-Cola, no sobre KDP.
  • Is KDP’s New GHOST Energy x A&W Flavor a Clue to Its Brand Expansion Strategy? — Lanzamiento de producto que podría impulsar el crecimiento de ingresos, pero es una señal temprana y de impacto moderado.

Verdict: Hold; the cheap valuation does not offset earnings deterioration and high leverage.

Main risk: High leverage (ND/EBITDA 6.66) combined with a 90% drop in earnings could lead to a dividend cut or solvency issues if the business does not recover.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.