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Neurocrine Biosciences NBIX

United States Healthcare
7.1/10
AI Analyst score
138.40 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 208.40 (+50.6%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; growth and pipeline offset the long-term risk of INGREZZA loss of exclusivity.

Neurocrine Biosciences is a US biopharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes innovative treatments for neurological, endocrine, and psychiatric disorders, with products such as Ingrezza and Crenessity. Neurocrine Biosciences shows solid growth (revenue +39.5%) and robust financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.08), with a promising pipeline supporting its valuation.

Financial health
8.0
Quality / Moat
7.8
Valuation
6.8
Growth
8.9
Dividend
1.5
Momentum
4.7
Risk & Context
8.3

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E20.23
Fwd P/E11.56
EV/EBITDA15.48
P/B3.81
P/S4.17
PEG0.28
Market cap14.07 B USD
Enterprise value14.14 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)18.0%
Gross margin64.48%
FCF conversion70%
Operating margin22.19%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE22.09%
ROA11.70%
Net margin20.91%
FCF638.2 M USD
FCF yield4.54%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt461.6 M USD
Net debt71.8 M USD
Cash389.8 M USD
EBITDA913.3 M USD
Net debt / EBITDA0.08
D/E12.50
Current ratio1.87
Quick ratio1.46
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth39.50%
Earnings growth31.10%
EPS (TTM)6.84 USD
EPS (Fwd)11.97 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.00%
Payout0.0%
Beta0.38
Analyst consensusStrong buy (29)
Target price208.40 USD
52-week range122.14 USD – 186.12 USD
⚠️ Main risk: Revenue concentration in INGREZZA and its loss of exclusivity in 2029 is the biggest risk, despite the pipeline in development.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Neurocrine Biosciences is a US biopharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes innovative treatments for neurological, endocrine, and psychiatric disorders, with products such as Ingrezza and Crenessity. Neurocrine Biosciences shows solid growth (revenue +39.5%) and robust financial health (ND/EBITDA 0.08), with a promising pipeline supporting its valuation.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health8.0
Quality / Moat7.8
Valuation6.8
Growth8.9
Dividend1.5
Momentum4.7
Risk & Context8.3

OVERALL SCORE: 7.1/10

Context and risks

Moderate regulatory risk in the US and pricing pressure in the pharmaceutical sector. Dependence on INGREZZA for a significant portion of revenue adds concentration risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Neurocrine Maps AI, China and Pipeline Strategy as INGREZZA Faces 2029 Price Hit — La estrategia de diversificación es positiva, pero la pérdida de exclusividad de INGREZZA en 2029 es un viento en contra conocido y material para el crecimiento a largo plazo.
  • Neurocrine’s (NBIX) Data Deluge Reshapes A Familiar Growth Story — La abundancia de datos de pipeline podría impulsar la confianza en el crecimiento futuro, aunque el impacto real dependerá de los resultados de los ensayos.
  • Neurocrine Biosciences' Ingrezza, Crenessity to Drive H2 Ahead of 'Catalyst-Rich' 2027, RBC Says — El respaldo de RBC y la expectativa de catalizadores en 2027 refuerzan la tesis de crecimiento, aunque el mercado ya lo descuenta en parte.
  • Neurocrine's Crenessity Gains Ground in CAH: How Far Can Sales Go? — El avance de Crenessity en hiperplasia suprarrenal congénita es una oportunidad de crecimiento adicional, pero su contribución a las ventas aún es incierta.
  • Neurocrine Biosciences (NBIX) Wins FDA Trial Nod, Is It Still Below Fair Value? — La aprobación de la FDA para un ensayo clínico es un hito regulatorio positivo que respalda el pipeline, aunque el impacto en la valoración es moderado.

Verdict: Hold; growth and pipeline offset the long-term risk of INGREZZA loss of exclusivity.

Main risk: Revenue concentration in INGREZZA and its loss of exclusivity in 2029 is the biggest risk, despite the pipeline in development.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.