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Constellation Brands STZ

United States Consumer Defensive
6.9/10
AI Analyst score
113.63 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 164.09 (+44.4%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; the cheap valuation and business quality offer support, but leverage and the high-rate environment warrant caution until revenue stabilizes.

Constellation Brands is an American alcoholic beverage company, known for its portfolio of imported beers (Modelo, Corona) and wines, with a business model based on premium brands and a strong presence in the US market. Constellation Brands shows an attractive valuation (P/E 10.82, FCF yield 11.39%) and solid quality (ROE 23.69%), but its high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 3.02) and declining revenue (-3.3%) in a high-rate environment limit the appeal.

Financial health
5.3
Quality / Moat
7.8
Valuation
7.8
Growth
5.0
Dividend
7.9
Momentum
3.9
Risk & Context
8.2

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E10.82
Fwd P/E9.26
EV/EBITDA8.72
P/B2.36
P/S2.14
PEG1.44
Market cap19.41 B USD
Enterprise value30.13 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)17.4%
Gross margin52.72%
FCF conversion64%
Operating margin35.93%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE23.69%
ROA8.57%
Net margin20.14%
FCF2.21 B USD
FCF yield11.39%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt10.53 B USD
Net debt10.44 B USD
Cash96.6 M USD
EBITDA3.46 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA3.02
D/E123.20
Current ratio0.91
Quick ratio0.25
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth-3.30%
Earnings growth30.70%
EPS (TTM)10.50 USD
EPS (Fwd)12.27 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield3.63%
Payout39.0%
Beta0.40
Analyst consensusBuy (23)
Target price164.09 USD
52-week range113.33 USD – 168.60 USD
⚠️ Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.02) combined with rising 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) increases the cost of debt and pressures valuation, especially with declining revenue.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Constellation Brands is an American alcoholic beverage company, known for its portfolio of imported beers (Modelo, Corona) and wines, with a business model based on premium brands and a strong presence in the US market. Constellation Brands shows an attractive valuation (P/E 10.82, FCF yield 11.39%) and solid quality (ROE 23.69%), but its high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 3.02) and declining revenue (-3.3%) in a high-rate environment limit the appeal.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.3
Quality / Moat7.8
Valuation7.8
Growth5.0
Dividend7.9
Momentum3.9
Risk & Context8.2

OVERALL SCORE: 6.9/10

Context and risks

Rising 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) affect Constellation Brands due to its high leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.02) and its position at 52-week lows, increasing the cost of its debt and pressuring long-duration cash flow valuations.

News considered in the analysis

  • STZ Stock’s Selloff Just Pushed the Yield to 3.6%. But Should Dividend Investors Be Worried? — Artículo especulativo sobre la sostenibilidad del dividendo tras la caída; no aporta información nueva sobre la empresa.
  • 6 food manufacturers talk supply chain tactics — Artículo genérico de sector sin datos específicos sobre Constellation Brands.
  • Constellation (STZ) Brands Hit a 52-Week Low. Is the Corona-and-Modelo Machine Broken, or On Sale? — Análisis especulativo sobre la caída de la acción; no revela hechos nuevos sobre el negocio.
  • 3 Relentless Dividend Stocks to Buy in September — Listículo promocional sin información específica relevante.
  • Constellation Brands' Premiumization and Innovation Aid Growth — Estrategia de premiumización e innovación como motor de crecimiento; positivo pero ya conocido y parcialmente descontado.

Verdict: Hold; the cheap valuation and business quality offer support, but leverage and the high-rate environment warrant caution until revenue stabilizes.

Main risk: High leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 3.02) combined with rising 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) increases the cost of debt and pressures valuation, especially with declining revenue.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.