Smurfit WestRock SW
Smurfit WestRock is a global producer of corrugated packaging and paper, with a vertically integrated model. Smurfit WestRock shows acceptable financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.95) and attractive valuation (forward P/E 13.53), but quality is weak (ROE 2.71%, operating margin 5.47%) and the 187.51% payout compromises the dividend. The containerboard price increase is a tailwind.
Detailed metrics
Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.
Full AI report
Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.
Smurfit WestRock is a global producer of corrugated packaging and paper, with a vertically integrated model. Smurfit WestRock shows acceptable financial health (ND/EBITDA 2.95) and attractive valuation (forward P/E 13.53), but quality is weak (ROE 2.71%, operating margin 5.47%) and the 187.51% payout compromises the dividend. The containerboard price increase is a tailwind.
Score by category
| Category | Score |
|---|---|
| Financial health | 4.8 |
| Quality / Moat | 2.7 |
| Valuation | 6.6 |
| Growth | 4.5 |
| Dividend | 3.8 |
| Momentum | 6.4 |
| Risk & Context | 6.3 |
OVERALL SCORE: 5.0/10
Context and risks
Moderate regulatory and governance risk due to Irish domicile. Exposure to tariffs and trade disputes in the US from its import business, with a fragile and litigious legal framework.
News considered in the analysis
- Smurfit Westrock to acquire CMPC’s Chilean packaging assets — Adquisición estratégica que amplía presencia en mercados emergentes, pero de tamaño moderado y sujeta a aprobaciones regulatorias.
- Is Smurfit Westrock Set to Gain From Its Recent Portfolio Actions? — Artículo de análisis sin información nueva material.
- What Happens to Your IP Dividend When the Split Closes — Ruido sobre el dividendo de una filial, sin impacto en la valoración de la matriz.
- Smurfit Westrock, Pratt seek investigation into ‘unfairly traded’ pizza box imports — Solicitud de investigación antidumping que, de prosperar, podría proteger el mercado doméstico y mejorar precios.
- North American containerboard prices rise as capacity cuts tighten supply — Subida de precios del containerboard en Norteamérica, mercado clave para Smurfit WestRock, con efecto directo en márgenes.
Verdict: Hold; the containerboard price increase and potential anti-dumping protection are positive, but weak profitability and unsustainable payout limit appeal.
Main risk: The 187.51% payout and weak cash generation (FCF conversion 26.55%) threaten dividend sustainability and financial flexibility.
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