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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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D.R. Horton DHI

United States Consumer Cyclical
5.5/10
AI Analyst score
141.51 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 158.92 (+12.3%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold, with a positive bias due to Berkshire's backing, but monitoring the housing market and interest rates.

Builder of single-family homes in the US, with rental and financial services businesses. D.R. Horton trades at a P/E of 13.49 and a FCF yield of 6.10%, but earnings growth is negative (-4.80%) and the housing market is weak, with home sales below 4 million. Berkshire Hathaway's accumulation (10% of the company) is a positive signal supporting the valuation.

Financial health
6.9
Quality / Moat
5.5
Valuation
7.5
Growth
3.3
Dividend
4.7
Momentum
4.3
Risk & Context
4.0

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E13.49
Fwd P/E12.17
EV/EBITDA10.97
P/B1.67
P/S1.19
PEG1.19
Market cap39.58 B USD
Enterprise value45.28 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)14.0%
Gross margin21.30%
FCF conversion58%
Operating margin12.99%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE12.63%
ROA6.88%
Net margin9.15%
FCF2.41 B USD
FCF yield6.10%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt7.19 B USD
Net debt5.11 B USD
Cash2.08 B USD
EBITDA4.13 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.24
D/E29.45
Current ratio6.01
Quick ratio0.42
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth0.00%
Earnings growth-4.80%
EPS (TTM)10.49 USD
EPS (Fwd)11.57 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield1.27%
Payout16.7%
Beta1.37
Analyst consensusHold (12)
Target price158.92 USD
52-week range131.75 USD – 176.22 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the weakness in the housing market, reflected in falling home sales and rising interest rates, which could prolong negative earnings growth.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Builder of single-family homes in the US, with rental and financial services businesses. D.R. Horton trades at a P/E of 13.49 and a FCF yield of 6.10%, but earnings growth is negative (-4.80%) and the housing market is weak, with home sales below 4 million. Berkshire Hathaway's accumulation (10% of the company) is a positive signal supporting the valuation.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health6.9
Quality / Moat5.5
Valuation7.5
Growth3.3
Dividend4.7
Momentum4.3
Risk & Context4.0

OVERALL SCORE: 5.5/10

Context and risks

The rise in 10-year Treasury yields (5.17%) makes mortgage financing more expensive, pressuring housing demand. The drop in home sales below 4 million confirms the impact on the market.

News considered in the analysis

  • Berkshire Now Owns About 10% of Lennar — La acumulación de Berkshire Hathaway es una señal de confianza de un inversor de gran prestigio, lo que respalda la valoración y la percepción de calidad.
  • Berkshire Hathaway Doubles Down on Housing Stock — La duplicación de la participación de Berkshire en Lennar refuerza la tesis de inversión y sugiere que el mercado puede estar infravalorando el valor de los activos de la compañía.
  • Is Lennar Stock Really On Sale? — El análisis especulativo sobre si la acción está en oferta no aporta información concreta, pero refleja el debate sobre la valoración actual.
  • Why Lennar Is Getting Hit Worse Than D.R. Horton in This Crummy Housing Market — El artículo señala una debilidad relativa frente a su competidor, lo que puede indicar problemas específicos de la empresa en un mercado débil.
  • ‘This Is the Pain That Comes With Bringing Inflation Down’: Home Sales Drop Below 4 Million — La caída de las ventas de viviendas por debajo de 4 millones refleja un mercado inmobiliario débil, lo que afecta directamente a la demanda de viviendas nuevas de Lennar.

Verdict: Hold, with a positive bias due to Berkshire's backing, but monitoring the housing market and interest rates.

Main risk: The main risk is the weakness in the housing market, reflected in falling home sales and rising interest rates, which could prolong negative earnings growth.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.