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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Walmart WMT

United States Consumer Defensive
5.0/10
AI Analyst score
107.98 USD
Last price at analysis date · analyst target 127.42 (+18.0%)
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🟡 HOLD — Hold; defensive quality and commercial moat justify a premium, but the P/E of 39.12 already discounts high expectations that current growth does not support.

Walmart is a multinational retail chain operating supermarkets, hypermarkets, and discount stores, with a business model based on low prices and large scale. Walmart shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 1.44) and high quality (ROE 22.31%), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 39.12) and earnings growth is negative (-9.1%), limiting appeal at these prices.

Financial health
5.3
Quality / Moat
5.4
Valuation
2.8
Growth
4.5
Dividend
5.5
Momentum
4.8
Risk & Context
7.8

Detailed metrics

Market and fundamental data as of the analysis date.

💵 Valuation
P/E39.12
Fwd P/E33.44
EV/EBITDA21.03
P/B8.73
P/S1.16
PEG4.15
Market cap859.31 B USD
Enterprise value926.81 B USD
🏰 Quality and moat
ROIC (approx.)14.7%
Gross margin24.84%
FCF conversion16%
Operating margin3.45%
📈 Profitability and margins
ROE22.31%
ROA6.41%
Net margin3.00%
FCF7.13 B USD
FCF yield0.83%
🏦 Solvency and liquidity
Total debt75.09 B USD
Net debt63.56 B USD
Cash11.53 B USD
EBITDA44.07 B USD
Net debt / EBITDA1.44
D/E71.65
Current ratio0.77
Quick ratio0.20
🚀 Growth
Revenue growth5.90%
Earnings growth-9.10%
EPS (TTM)2.77 USD
EPS (Fwd)3.23 USD
💰 Dividend and risk
Dividend yield0.92%
Payout35.0%
Beta0.59
Analyst consensusBuy (40)
Target price127.42 USD
52-week range98.88 USD – 135.16 USD
⚠️ Main risk: The main risk is the demanding valuation (P/E 39.12) combined with negative earnings growth (-9.1%), which could lead to a correction if defensive momentum reverses.
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Full AI report

Generated automatically from the metrics, the macro context and the company's news.

Walmart is a multinational retail chain operating supermarkets, hypermarkets, and discount stores, with a business model based on low prices and large scale. Walmart shows solid financial health (ND/EBITDA 1.44) and high quality (ROE 22.31%), but its valuation is demanding (P/E 39.12) and earnings growth is negative (-9.1%), limiting appeal at these prices.

Score by category

CategoryScore
Financial health5.3
Quality / Moat5.4
Valuation2.8
Growth4.5
Dividend5.5
Momentum4.8
Risk & Context7.8

OVERALL SCORE: 5.0/10

Context and risks

Moderate regulatory risk in the US due to its dominant scale and antitrust scrutiny over pricing and data practices, though the public commitment not to use personal data for pricing partially mitigates the risk.

News considered in the analysis

  • Walmart pledges not to use personal data to set prices — Compromiso que reduce el riesgo regulatorio y de reputación en el uso de datos, un factor positivo moderado para una empresa de consumo masivo.
  • Stocktwits Retail Therapy: Defensive Bets Take Off As COST, DG, WMT Lead Weekly Consumer Staples Gains — El liderazgo semanal del sector defensivo refleja una rotación hacia refugio, ya parcialmente descontada en el precio.
  • Can New Flavors Actually Fix What’s Wrong at Kraft Heinz (KHC)? — Noticia sobre un competidor sin impacto directo en Walmart.
  • Is the Beauty Aisle Becoming Retail’s Next Big Battleground for Walmart (WMT) and Ulta (ULTA)? — La expansión en belleza podría impulsar el tráfico y el ticket medio, pero es una oportunidad aún no materializada.
  • In 1980, His Business Became The Fastest Company In History To Reach $1 Billion In Sales. Today, His Heirs Sit On Top a $453 Billion Combined Fortune. Here’s How Sam Walton Built the Biggest Retail Empire in America’s History — Artículo histórico sin información nueva relevante para la valoración.

Verdict: Hold; defensive quality and commercial moat justify a premium, but the P/E of 39.12 already discounts high expectations that current growth does not support.

Main risk: The main risk is the demanding valuation (P/E 39.12) combined with negative earnings growth (-9.1%), which could lead to a correction if defensive momentum reverses.

Other Consumer Defensive companies

Neighbours in the sector ranking, to compare without going back to the index.

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Automatically generated analysis from fundamental, market and news data. Not personalised financial advice — a research tool, not an individual recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Last update of this analysis: 2026-09-28. Legal notice, privacy & cookies.