Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings OLLI
United StatesConsumer Defensive · Discount StoresUSD
99.93 USD (+16.0%)
15 analysts
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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings is a US discount retailer operating brand-name closeout stores, offering consumer goods at deeply reduced prices in a 'treasure hunt' model.
Key points
from its scores- ✓Favourable backdrop8.7
- ✓Strong growth7.6
- ✓Very solid balance sheet7.1
- ✕Poor share-price trend0.6
- ✕Little or no dividend1.5
AI analysis
bottom line, main risk, context and newsFundamentals are solid, but the sharp price decline and lack of dividend suggest waiting for momentum to improve before buying.
Ollie's shows solid growth (revenue +9.10%, earnings +43.40%) with a healthy balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA of 1.44) and reasonable valuation (P/E 19.27), although its dividend yield is nil and momentum is very negative (-40.96% over 12 months).
The main risk is the sharp price decline over the last 12 months (-40.96%), which could reflect a slowdown in discretionary spending or increased competitive pressure in the discount sector not yet visible in results.
Context and risks
No relevant recent news. Ollie's discount business is defensive consumer, with low exposure to interest rates (Net Debt/EBITDA of 1.44) and no dependence on commodities or shipping routes affected by the geopolitical context. The rise in long-term US rates does not materially affect its business model.
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings stock cheap or expensive?
at the analysis dateOn P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 19% above the Consumer Defensive median on average.
| Multiple | Company | Sector | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.3 | 19.8 | −3% |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.2 | 10.8 | +40% |
| Price / book | 2.7 | 2.7 | −1% |
| Price / sales | 1.8 | 1.2 | +49% |
Sector: median of the 124 Consumer Defensive companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.
Valuation score: 5.4 out of 10 (median for Consumer Defensive: 6.3).
Average analyst target: 99.93 USD, +16.0% versus the price.
A premium can be justified if the company is of higher quality or grows faster than its sector: Quality / Moat 5.5 (sector 5.7), Growth 7.6 (sector 5.3).
Classic formulas with standard assumptions (10.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.
Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →
Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.
Score by category
0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measuresKey metrics
at the analysis date · compared with the Consumer Defensive medianValuation
- P/E
- 19.3
- Forward P/E
- 17.4
- EV / EBITDA
- 15.2
- Price / book
- 2.7
- Price / sales
- 1.8
- PEG
- 0.50
- Market cap
- 5.1B USD
- Enterprise value
- 5.7B USD
Profitability
- ROE
- 14.9%
- ROA
- 6.7%
- ROIC (approx.)
- 11.5%
- Gross margin
- 40.6%
- Operating margin
- 10.8%
- Net margin
- 9.8%
- Free cash flow
- 119.6M USD
- FCF yield
- 2.3%
- Cash conversion
- 32%
Solvency
- Total debt
- 725.6M USD
- Net debt
- 538.1M USD
- Cash
- 187.5M USD
- EBITDA
- 373.0M USD
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.44
- Debt / equity
- 38.28
- Current ratio
- 2.23
- Quick ratio
- 0.47
Growth
- Revenue growth
- +9.1%
- Earnings growth
- +43.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- 4.47 USD
- EPS (forward)
- 4.94 USD
Dividend
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
- Payout
- 0.0%
Risk and market
- Beta
- 0.41
- Analyst consensus
- Buy (15)
- Target price
- 99.93 USD
- 52-week range
- 60.29 – 133.28
Recent news
All OLLI news →Compare it with its sector
All 124 in Consumer Defensive →Frequently asked questions about Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings stock cheap or expensive?
On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 19% above the Consumer Defensive median on average. Valuation score: 5.4 out of 10 (median for Consumer Defensive: 6.3). Average analyst target: 99.93 USD, +16.0% versus the price. This is not investment advice.
What score does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings get on MeridIAn Screener?
It scores 5.6 out of 10, rank 1,357 of 2,130 (better than 35% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Risk & Context (8.7) and its weakest, Momentum (0.6). Analysis of 08/10/2026.
What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's P/E ratio?
Its P/E is 19.3: the share price equals 19.3 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Consumer Defensive median is 19.8. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 17.4.
How much is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings worth on the stock market?
Its market capitalisation is 5.1B USD and its enterprise value, debt included, is 5.7B USD.
How much debt does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings have?
Its net debt (debt minus cash) is 538.1M USD. That is 1.44 times its EBITDA; the Consumer Defensive median is 2.38.
Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings pay a dividend?
It pays no dividend, or almost none.
How has Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings stock performed over the last year?
It has fallen 30.9% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 60.29 and 133.28 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
What do analysts think of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings?
15 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Buy” and their average target is 99.93 USD (+16.0% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.