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⚠️ Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Murphy Oil MUR

United StatesEnergy · Oil & Gas E&PUSD
7.3AI score
Rank 95 of 2,130
better than 95% of companies
37.25USD
▲ 44.8% in one year
MUR MSCI World +22.1%
Average analyst target
40.21 USD (+8.0%)
14 analysts
52-wk low 26.49High 43.34
📈 Chart on TradingView ↗(affiliate link)Analysis of 08/10/2026

What does it do?

Murphy Oil Corporation is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company with assets in the Gulf of Mexico and US shale formations (Eagle Ford and Tufts).

Key points

from its scores
  • ✓Good share-price trend8.2
  • ✓Favourable backdrop8.2
  • ✓Attractive dividend7.4
  • !Average business quality5.8

AI analysis

bottom line, main risk, context and news
Bottom line

Valuation and balance sheet are solid, but current growth is at a cyclical peak and free cash flow generation does not keep pace.

Murphy Oil shows solid financial health (net debt/EBITDA of 1.00) and an attractive valuation (EV/EBITDA of 4.10, P/B of 1.02), although the 916.60% earnings growth reflects a cyclical peak that is not extrapolable and free cash flow conversion (19.43%) is weak.

⚠ Main risk

The main risk is the normalization of the commodity cycle: if oil and gas prices fall from current levels, the record profit (916.60% growth) and the 37.93% operating margin would compress quickly.

Context and risks

Murphy Oil is an oil and gas producer focused on the Gulf of Mexico and US shale (Eagle Ford, Tufts). The context of rising rates and a stronger dollar does not materially affect its exploration and production business, and there are no recent relevant news items that modify its risk profile.

Is Murphy Oil stock cheap or expensive?

at the analysis date
Cheaper than its sector

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 16% below the Energy median on average.

MultipleCompanySectorDifference
P/E18.415.7+17%
EV / EBITDA4.18.0−49%
Price / book1.02.2−55%
Price / sales1.81.9−7%

Sector: median of the 102 Energy companies analysed. In bold, the multiples used for the comparison.

Valuation score: 7.3 out of 10 (median for Energy: 5.9).

Average analyst target: 40.21 USD, +8.0% versus the price.

A discount may reflect more risk or slower growth than its sector: Financial health 7.1 (sector 6.8), Growth 7.2 (sector 7.2).

Indicative fair value · USD
Graham57.57▲ +55% vs price
Cash flow (DCF)56.44▲ +52% vs price
Dividends49.00▲ +32% vs price
Price37.25at the analysis date

Classic formulas with standard assumptions (10.0% growth, 8-9% discount rate). Indicative only: they change a lot with the assumptions and are not a recommendation.

Work out its fair value yourself →How much would you have made investing every month? →

Comparing it with its sector does not say whether it is a good buy: this is not investment advice.

🛒 Where to buy MURCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderCheapest · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € orderAvailable in your country · US (NYSE/Nasdaq) · sample 200.00 € order
By the cost of that order: commission and FX, taxes excluded (public fee schedules). Brokers marked «affiliate» may pay Meridian a commission at no cost to you. This is not investment advice. · Compare all 22 brokers by real cost →

Score by category

0 to 10 · hover overtap each one to see what it measures
Financial healthiGood7.1Energy median: 6.8
Quality / MoatiFair5.8Energy median: 5.8
ValuationiGood7.3Energy median: 5.9
GrowthiGood7.2Energy median: 7.2
DividendiGood7.4Energy median: 6.0
MomentumiGood8.2Energy median: 7.7
Risk & ContextiGood8.2Energy median: 7.7
Energy median7 or more 5 to 7 under 5

Key metrics

at the analysis date · compared with the Energy median
P/Ei
18.4
Energy: 15.7above
EV / EBITDAi
4.1
Energy: 8.0below
ROEi
6.5%
Energy: 14.7%below
Operating margini
37.9%
Energy: 24.0%above
Net debt / EBITDAi
1.00
Energy: 1.23below
Revenue growthi
+35.6%
Energy: +32.7%above

Valuation

P/E
18.4
Forward P/E
11.7
EV / EBITDA
4.1
Price / book
1.0
Price / sales
1.8
PEG
0.33
Market cap
5.3B USD
Enterprise value
7.3B USD

Profitability

ROE
6.5%
ROA
3.3%
ROIC (approx.)
15.1%
Gross margin
82.7%
Operating margin
37.9%
Net margin
9.8%
Free cash flow
344.7M USD
FCF yield
6.5%
Cash conversion
19%

Solvency

Total debt
2.3B USD
Net debt
1.8B USD
Cash
483.9M USD
EBITDA
1.8B USD
Net debt / EBITDA
1.00
Debt / equity
41.90
Current ratio
0.85
Quick ratio
0.77

Growth

Revenue growth
+35.6%
Earnings growth
+916.6%
EPS (TTM)
2.02 USD
EPS (forward)
3.18 USD

Dividend

Dividend yield
3.8%
Payout
66.8%

Risk and market

Beta
0.58
Analyst consensus
Hold (14)
Target price
40.21 USD
52-week range
26.49 – 43.34

Compare it with its sector

All 102 in Energy →
See the full ranking with filters →

Keep browsing the ranking

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Frequently asked questions about Murphy Oil

Is Murphy Oil stock cheap or expensive?

On P/E and EV / EBITDA, it trades 16% below the Energy median on average. Valuation score: 7.3 out of 10 (median for Energy: 5.9). Average analyst target: 40.21 USD, +8.0% versus the price. This is not investment advice.

What score does Murphy Oil get on MeridIAn Screener?

It scores 7.3 out of 10, rank 95 of 2,130 (better than 95% of the companies analysed). Its strongest category is Momentum (8.2) and its weakest, Quality / Moat (5.8). Analysis of 08/10/2026.

What is Murphy Oil's P/E ratio?

Its P/E is 18.4: the share price equals 18.4 times earnings per share over the last 12 months. The Energy median is 15.7. Based on the earnings analysts expect, the forward P/E is 11.7.

How much is Murphy Oil worth on the stock market?

Its market capitalisation is 5.3B USD and its enterprise value, debt included, is 7.3B USD.

How much debt does Murphy Oil have?

Its net debt (debt minus cash) is 1.8B USD. That is 1.00 times its EBITDA; the Energy median is 1.23.

Does Murphy Oil pay a dividend?

Yes: its dividend yield is 3.76% and it pays out 67% of its earnings.

How has Murphy Oil stock performed over the last year?

It has risen 44.8% over the last year, excluding dividends. Over the last 52 weeks it has traded between 26.49 and 43.34 USD. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

What do analysts think of Murphy Oil?

14 analysts cover it; their average recommendation is “Hold” and their average target is 40.21 USD (+8.0% versus the price). It is an estimate, not market data.